安倍晋三始终将修改宪法作为其内阁最重要的目标之一，其目的是为日本成为军事大国铺路。美国总统特朗普主张“盟国应该分担”联盟的经费，这也给日本安倍晋三内阁将日本防卫经费实现六连增提供了藉口。2017年12月15日，日本政府确定，2018年度初始预算案中涉及防卫领域的经费(包含美军重组费用)将达到史上最高的约5.19万亿日元(约合3047亿人民币)，包括为引进美国陆基“宙斯盾”系统和采购日美联合研发新型拦截导弹“标准”-3block2的费用。日本政府打算将海上自卫队最大护卫舰“出云”号改造为日本二战后第一艘攻击型航母，搭载F-35B战斗机。
近年来，日本积极与越南、菲律宾、印度、澳大利亚、英国、法国等发展海洋安全合作关系，以构建和加强为日本所用的国际海洋安全合作机制。在特朗普总统宣布美国退出TPP后，日本主导了“全面且先进的跨太平洋伙伴关系协定”(即“新版TPP”，Comprehensive Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership，英文缩写CPTPP)谈判。2017年11月11日，日本和越南在岘港宣布“11个国家就CPTPP达成了框架协议”。但此次达成的框架协议实际上已经冻结了20个项目。安倍晋三政府的主要目的是“一边维系与美国的关系，一边推进由日本主导的海洋安全与经济合作”。〔35〕
注释：
〔1〕Hillary R. Clinton,"America's Pacific Century," Foreign Policy, November 2011, p.57, 59, 62-63.
〔2〕U.S Department of Defense, "Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense,"January 2012, available at: www.defense.gov/news/Defense_Strategic_Guidance.pdf.（上网时间：2012年1月5日）
〔3〕Admiral Samuel J. Locklear,CommanderofUnited States Pacific Command, testified before U.S. Senate Committee on Armed Services, "U.S. Pacific Command programs and Operations",April 9,2013, https://www.c-span.org/video/?311961-1/us-pacific-command-operations#.（上网时间：2013年4月9日）
〔4〕J.Biden, "Remarks by Vice President Joe Biden on Asia-Pacific Policy," July 19, 2013, available at: http//www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/07/19/remarks-vice-president-joe-biden-asia-pacific-policy.（上网时间：2018年1月2日）
〔5〕"Japan Is Back," Speech by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at the Center for Strategic and International Studies(CSIS), Washington, DC, February 22, 2013, available at：http://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/pm/abe/us_20130222en.html.（上网时间：2018年1月2日）
〔6〕Rex W. Tillerson, Secretary of State,Remarks on "Defining Our Relationship With India for the Next Century", at Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington, DC, the U.S.,October 18, 2017,available at：https://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2017/10/274913.htm.（上网时间：2017年10月19日）
〔7〕"National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster updated reporters on the president's upcoming trip to Asia", White House Daily Briefing, White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., C-SPAN, November 2, 2017 , available at：https://www.c-span.org/video/?436740-1/white-house-briefs-reporters-presidents-trip-asia#.（上网时间：2017年11月2日）
〔8〕Kevin Liptak and Dan Merica, "Trump delivers 'America first' speech at Asia-Pacific economic summit",CNN, November 10, 2017, available at : http://edition.cnn.com/2017/11/10/politics/donald-trump-apec-vietnam-trade/index.html.（上网时间：2017年11月10日）
〔9〕ManmohanSingh, "PM's Address to Japan-India Association, Japan-India Parliamentary Friendship League and International Friendship Exchange Council," May 28, 2013, available at：http://pmindia.nic.in/speech-details.php?nodeid=1319.（上网时间：2013年5月29日）
〔10〕"Transcript of Trump's speech to the leaders of more than 50 Muslim countries to outline his vision for US-Muslim relations in Saudi Arabia",CNN, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia,May 21, 2017, available at : http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/21/politics/trump-saudi-speech-transcript/index.html.（上网时间：2017年5月22日）
〔11〕"Remarks by President Trump on the Strategy in Afghanistan and South Asia", Fort Myer, Arlington, Virginia, the U.S., issued by the White House, August 21, 2017, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-strategy-afghanistan-south-asia/.（上网时间：2017年8月22日）
〔12〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p.45-46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.（上网时间：2017年12月18日）
〔13〕Michael Green and Daniel Twining, "Why aren't we working with Japan and India ?",Washington Post, July 18, 2011, http//articles.washingtonpost.com/2011-07-18/opinions/35238121-1-obama-adminstration-strategic-dialogue-japan-and-india.（上网时间：2011年7月18日）
〔14〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p.46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.（上网时间：2017年12月18日）
〔15〕Shinzo Abe, "Asia's Democratic Security Diamond", Project Syndicate, January 28, 2013, available at : http://www.project-syndicate.org.（上网时间：2013年1月28日）
〔16〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 47, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.（上网时间：2017年12月18日）
〔17〕World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS), the World Bank.
〔18〕Admiral Samuel J. Locklear, Commander of U.S. Pacific Command, "U.S. Pacific Command Posture," Statement before the House Armed Services Committee, March 5, 2013.
〔19〕Robert D. Hormats, Under Secretary for Economic Growth, Energy, and the Environment, "Asian Regional Economic Integration," Keynote Remarks at,the Asia Society, New York City, NY, December 12, 2012 available at : http://www.state.gov/e/rls/rmk/20092013/2012/202024.htm
〔20〕Anthony Fensom, "China, India To Lead World By 2050, Says PwC" (a news report about "World in 2050" report by PwC, PricewaterhouseCoopers), February 12, 2015, available at : http://thediplomat.com/2015/02/china-india-to-lead-world-by-2050-says-pwc/
〔21〕"China Top Economy in 2020, India in 2050," （a news report about the 2012 edition of The Wealth Report, released by global property firm Knight Frankand Citi Private Bank）, March 30, 2012, available at ： http://www.2point6billion.com/news/2012/03/30/report-china-top-economy-in-2020-india-in-2050-10921.html
〔22〕Mohsin S. Khan, "Asia: Stepping Up from Regional Influence to a Global Role," East Asia Forum Quarterly October 16, 2011, p.18.
〔23〕Jeffrey J. Schott, "The FTA Frenzy in East Asia: Current Status and Prospects," Peterson Institute for International Economics, November 1, 2007.
〔24〕General Rashid Mehmood, the Chairman of Joint Chief of Staff Committee of Pakistan, “Challenges in Indo-Pacific Region Growing, Maritime Security Conference Told,” speech at 6th International Maritime Conference 2015, February 16, 2015, available at: http://epaper.dawn.com/print-imageview.php?StoryText=17_02_2015_003_005.
〔25〕中国商务部网站：《澳大利亚对主要贸易伙伴出口额》（2014年），参见网页： http://countryreport.mofcom.gov.cn/record/view110209.asp?news_id=42743；以及《澳大利亚自主要贸易伙伴进口额》（2014年），参见网页： http://countryreport.mofcom.gov.cn/record/view110209.asp?news_id=42744。
〔26〕Zack Cooper, "Strengthening U.S.- Australia Alliance,"available at : http://csis.org/articles.com/2014-07-20/opinions/287243-1-strengthening-us-Australia-alliance.
〔27〕见2001年7月16日签署的《中俄元首莫斯科联合声明》，载《人民日报》2001年7月17日第1版。
〔28〕时任中国国家主席江泽民2001年7月16日在莫斯科与俄罗斯总统普京举行会谈时的谈话，载《人民日报》2001年7月17日第1版。
〔29〕Michael Green and Daniel Twining, "Why Aren't We Working with Japan and India ?" available at : http//articles.washingtonpost.com/2011-07-18/opinions/35238121-1-obama-adminstration-strategic-dialogue-japan-and-india.
〔30〕Glenn H .Snyder, "The Security Dilemmain Alliance Politics" , World Politics , Vol.34 , No .3 ,July 1984,pp .466-489 .
〔31〕Glenn H .Snyder, "The Security Dilemmain Alliance Politics" , World Politics , Vol.34 , No .3 ,July 1984,pp .490-494 .
〔32〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.（上网时间：2017年12月18日）
〔33〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 47, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.（上网时间：2017年12月18日）
〔34〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.（上网时间：2017年12月18日）
〔35〕《日澳强化海洋合作》，日本《读卖新闻》2017年1月15日，载《参考消息》2017年1月16日。
（全文刊载于《中国评论》月刊2018年12月号，总第252期） |
